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Currently this site concentrates on the U.S. presidential election. It will be updated and more electoral systems will be added.
Romney wins the primaries in Illinois and Puerto Rico. He came in way ahead of his rivals Santorum, Gingrich and Paul. An exciting win it is not, though. He has had big wins before. One should think that he would have clinched the Republican nomination for president by now. His opponents in the election, though, have not yet had enough. Gradually, though, they are losing credibility. The chances of any of Romney’s opponents winning the nomination now are less than a hail-marry touchdown pass.The difference between a presidential nomination process and a football game, though, is that in football you play your four quarters no matter how bad your losing. When your running for your parties nomination, you need to accept defeat when it is evident. Both Gingrich and now Santorum are still clutching straws. Hoping for some miracle, which will most likely not come.
Less some hideous, or perceptively hideous scandal ravishes Romney or some unfortunate illness, accident or the like, he will not only get the sufficient amount of delegates needed for the nomination, but also be the most convincing candidate among the Republican hopefuls. The longer both Santorum and Gingrich stay in the race the less chance booth have of getting the united conservative vote behind them. Last but not least, the inability of these two candidates to take part in every race or have delegates in all districts of a state, really puts a huge question mark on their candidacies.
The race will continue, Romney stays in the lead from here out. Santorum may have his nose in front in a few more primaries, but the delegate count increasing for Romney will be relentless. Romney may not gain momentum and retain his image of not being capable of clinching the nomination, but he should win in the end.
When the general election comes around, the Republican primary race may have some negative affect on Romney’s chances, but that should remain negligible. It will all come down to the economy (employment, gas prices and mortgages). If these factors do not worsen or even improve Obama’s campaign should have an easy time with Romney. If not he would most likely have a hard time winning against any Republican candidate.
The primaries in Mississippi and Alabama were a last stand for Newt Gingrich. To still be taken seriously, he needed to win both primaries in these states. He came in behind Rick Santorum. Still he is not going to leave the race. As for Romney, he suffered no setback in these primaries. He wasn’t expected to win. He will still acquire more delegates. The race remains undecided, with Romney in the lead and Rick Santorum still in pursuit and Gingrich running way behind but still entertaining the crowd.The primary results were a surprise. It was expected that Gingrich would win these two southern states. This was supposed to be the region of the country, where he was the strongest. His win in Georgia and South Caroline made a win in Mississippi and Alabama pretty much a sure thing.
Santorum came in and took the victory away from him. He didn’t do it decisively, but he got the win. Gingrich is forced to make excuses for not winning. Of course he comes up with some. Second place is also OK. We still get a bunch of delegates. These excuses, however, do not hold water. It is quite clear that his chances now are close to none. He must know himself that he will not get the nomination. His decision to stay in the race must be based on a different reason. It may be that he would like to have the role of tipping the balance. He may want to spoil another candidates chances of winning the remaining primaries. It is unclear. It does not seem like a wise use of donated campaign funds, though. In fact who is now still willing to contribute to his campaign?
Where does the race go from here? Romney should keep the lead. He will remain the front-runner. It is still an undecided race and the up-coming primaries are no longer a sure win for Romney. He should win Illinois, but it is now an up-for-grabs in big states like Wisconsin and Texas. Santorum has a chance to achieve a turn-a-round and close the delegate-gab to Romney. Still Romney’s organization and finances will give him an advantage and make him tough to beat.
As strange as it might seem, Puerto Rico, now becomes an interesting primary. It is next up (apart from Missouri’s caucus, which should not get much media coverage, since it held a primary a few weeks ago). The media will be looking to Puerto Rico for a further sign on what direction this race will go.
The race goes on. It remains close and competitive and may continue into June. We will stay tuned.
